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CHART PATTERNS · 04 / 22 — THREE PEAKS AT ONE CEILING
CHART PATTERNS · 04 / 22 · SELF-PACED · ~12 MIN READ

TRIPLE TOP
& BOTTOM

THREE TRIES, EQUALLY REJECTED

A double top's rarer, more deliberate cousin: three attempts at the same ceiling, all rejected, each pullback real and meaningful. The extra attempt is extra conviction.

Three strikes and you're out.
— PROVERB
SCROLL
01 — HISTORY

RARER THAN ITS
TWO-PEAK COUSIN

A NATURAL EXTENSION OF THE DOUBLE

Early chartists recognized that some ceilings get tested a third time before the market gives up — the same logic as a double top, extended by one more attempt.

EARLY 1900s
→ ONE MORE ATTEMPT, SAME LOGIC
1948
→ RARER, BUT NOT DIFFERENT IN KIND
EDWARDS & MAGEE NOTE THE RARITY

The landmark technical analysis text notes triple tops and bottoms as less common than double tops, but no less valid once confirmed.

A COUSIN OF THE HEAD AND SHOULDERS TOO

Where head and shoulders has a distinctly higher middle peak, this pattern's three peaks are all roughly equal — a flatter ceiling, tested three times.

EVERY CYCLE
→ FLATTER, NOT TALLER IN THE MIDDLE
TODAY
→ RARER MEANS MORE TRUSTED, NOT LESS
THREE REJECTIONS BEAT TWO

Because it needs one more genuine test to form, traders today treat a confirmed triple top or bottom as carrying somewhat more weight than a double.

02 — THREE PILLARS

THREE TRIES,
ONE VERDICT

PILLAR 01
MMM
THE ANATOMY
THREE PEAKS, ALL ROUGHLY EQUAL, TWO REAL PULLBACKS BETWEEN THEM

After an uptrend, three separate rallies all fail at nearly the same ceiling, each separated by a real pullback. At a bottom, the identical shape inverted is a triple bottom.

BEGINNER TRAP — confusing this with head and shoulders. If the middle peak is clearly higher than the other two, it's head and shoulders, not a triple top.
↗ SEE IT LIVE ON CLEAREX
THREE PEAKS, ALL EQUAL THE SHARED SUPPORT LINE TWO REAL PULLBACKS BETWEEN THREE PEAKS
PILLAR 02
THE SUPPORT LINE BREAK
THE SHARED FLOOR IS THE LINE TO BREAK

Connect the two troughs between the three peaks — that shared support line is what must break. At a bottom, the shared resistance line between the three troughs must break upward.

BEGINNER TRAP — shorting after the third rejection alone. Without the support-line break, price could still simply range between the floor and ceiling.
↗ SEE IT LIVE ON CLEAREX
CONFIRMED — CLOSED BELOW THE SHAPE WAITS FOR THE BREAK
PILLAR 03
!
WHY THE THIRD TRY MATTERS
MORE ATTEMPTS, MORE EVIDENCE OF A REAL CEILING

PLAIN: three failed attempts at the same price is stronger proof of a real ceiling than two. But it's also rarer — most tests of a level stop at one or two tries.

Each additional rejection at the same level is more evidence sellers are defending it consistently, not by chance. But three genuine, well-spaced attempts are rarer than two — most levels only get tested once or twice before resolving.

PRO: don't force a "third peak" out of a shape that's really a double top plus noise. If the third test is much shallower or much later than the first two, treat it skeptically rather than eagerly upgrading the pattern.

BEGINNER TRAP — manufacturing a third peak out of minor noise just to upgrade a double top into a "stronger" triple top.
↗ SEE IT LIVE ON CLEAREX
THE SAME CEILING, TESTED THREE TIMES THE THIRD — MORE EVIDENCE, NOT ALWAYS PRESENT RARER, BUT STRONGER WHEN GENUINE
03 — REFERENCE · THE FAMILY

THREE SWINGS,
A FEW WAYS

TRIPLE TOP
Ends an uptrend. Confirmed on a break below the shared support.
TRIPLE BOTTOM
Ends a downtrend. Confirmed on a break above the shared resistance.
DOUBLE TOP (COUSIN)
The same logic, one attempt fewer (previous lesson).
HEAD AND SHOULDERS (COUSIN)
Three peaks too, but the middle one is clearly highest — a different shape.
THE FAILED BREAK
A break that reverses back — invalidated, same rule as every neckline pattern.
THE MANUFACTURED THIRD PEAK
Forcing a minor wiggle into a "third test" — a double top wearing a costume.
04 — THE RECORD · WITH DATES

WHERE THREE TRIES
TOLD THE TRUTH

2017–2018
S&P 500 · A DEBATED TRIPLE-TOP-LIKE STRUCTURE
MULTIPLE TESTS OF ONE CEILING, WIDELY DISCUSSED

Some technical commentary describes the choppy 2017–2018 top as resembling a triple-top-like structure before the broader decline — a debated but illustrative real-world example.

THREE TESTS, ONE CEILING SPX · 2017–2018
SCHEMATIC
WHY THIS ONE STAYS MOSTLY SCHEMATIC
THE HONEST POSITION

Because genuine triple tops and bottoms are rarer and more debated than their two-swing cousins, this lesson leans mostly on the schematic to teach the rule rather than forcing a specific chart to fit it.

THE RULE, NOT A FORCED FIT SCHEMATIC WHERE HONEST
05 — THE PRACTICE LAB · THREE QUESTIONS

THE THREE-STEP
SYSTEM

THREE REAL, ROUGHLY EQUAL PEAKS?
All three near the same level — not one clearly higher (that's head and shoulders instead).
TWO REAL PULLBACKS BETWEEN THEM?
Both dips meaningful, not shallow wiggles or a manufactured third test.
WAIT FOR THE SHARED-LINE BREAK
Only a confirmed close through the shared support/resistance line validates the reversal.
→ THREE REJECTIONS, ONE BREAK, ONE VERDICT
06 — READING DRILLS

READ THE
THREE TRIES

SCORE: 0 / 3
DRILL 01
MMM

Three peaks form at nearly the same price, each separated by a real pullback, then price closes below the shared support line. What is this?

? THREE EQUAL PEAKS → ?
DRILL 02

Three peaks print near the same price, but the middle one is noticeably higher than the other two. Is this a triple top?

? SYMMETRY IS THE WHOLE DIFFERENCE
DRILL 03

A double top forms, and after its confirmed break, a minor bounce stalls slightly below the old ceiling. A trader calls this "the third peak of a triple top." Is that correct?

? TIMING MATTERS — NO RETROACTIVE UPGRADES
07 — LIVE READ · THREE SWINGS, ONE VERDICT

INSIDE THE
REVERSAL

Three swings, watched as they build on the left — and the mark they leave in the ledger on the right. A confirmed triple top, a confirmed triple bottom — and a shape that was really just head and shoulders.

FORMATION:
01 — TWO EQUAL PEAKS
Two rallies already fail at nearly the same ceiling.
02 — THE THIRD PEAK
A third rally fails at the same level, after a real pullback.
03 — THE BREAK
Price closes below the shared support line, confirming the reversal.
04 — THE RECORD
Three equal, rejected peaks: a confirmed triple top.
THE RECORD THREE REJECTIONS, ONE VERDICT CONFIRMED TRIPLE TOP SCHEMATIC — THREE SWINGS, TICK BY TICK · AUTO-LOOP
08 — ACTIVE DRILL · THREE TRIES OR NOT

THREE PEAKS

Three swings at one level. Judge the symmetry and whether the shared line broke — then call it: trade the break, pass, or note it's really head and shoulders.

CALLED 0 · WRONG 0
Three swings. Triple, head-and-shoulders, or nothing?
Check symmetry first — that's what separates this from head and shoulders.
09 — DISCIPLINE · DON'T MANUFACTURE THE THIRD TRY

RARE IS GOOD —
DON'T FORCE IT

PLAIN: don't turn a double top into a triple top by counting a weak bounce as a third peak. If it needs squinting, it's still just a double.

The classic error is upgrading a confirmed double top into a "triple" using a minor, unconvincing bounce. The discipline is mechanical: demand the third peak be genuinely comparable in size and timing to the first two, and occurring before, not after, any confirming break.

PRO: log how often your "triple top" calls were really just double tops with a manufactured third peak. That personal audit is the fastest way to calibrate strictness on this pattern specifically.

THREE GENUINELY EQUAL SWINGS?
TWO REAL PULLBACKS?
A CONFIRMED SHARED-LINE BREAK?
→ THE THIRD TRY MUST BE EARNED, NOT COUNTED
EARN THE THIRD PEAK, DON'T ASSUME IT
10 — LEGACY

THREE STRIKES,
ONE VERDICT

A double failed level is a strong claim. A triple, genuinely earned, is a rarer and stronger one stilldemand real symmetry, real pullbacks, and a real break before trusting it.

Three strikes and you're out.
— PROVERB
TRIPLE TOP · TRIPLE BOTTOM · THE SHARED SUPPORT LINE · THREE STRIKES AND YOU'RE OUT · BTCUSD · SPX · CHART PATTERNS 04 / 22 · TRIPLE TOP · TRIPLE BOTTOM · THE SHARED SUPPORT LINE · THREE STRIKES AND YOU'RE OUT · BTCUSD · SPX · CHART PATTERNS 04 / 22 ·